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13-14 NOVEMBER, 2018
Old Billingsgate, London 

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Economic data calendar


Monday, 12th November
02:00 CNY Foreign Direct Investment
06:00 FRA Nonfarm Payrolls
06:00 JPY Machine Factory Orders
09:00 ITY Industrial Output
21:45 NZD Food Price Index

Tuesday, 13th November
00:30 AUD National Australia Bank’s Business Confidence
07:00 GER Consumer Price Index
07:00 GER Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices
09:00 EUR ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment
09:30 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate
09:30 GBP Average Earnings including Bonus
09:30 GBP Average Earnings excluding Bonus
10:00 GER ZEW Survey – Current Situation
10:00 GER ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment
19:00 USD Monthly Budget Statement
21:30 USD API Weekly Crude Oil Stock
23:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence
23:50 JPY Gross Domestic Product

Wednesday, 14th November
01:30 AUD Wage Price Index
02:00 CNY Retail Sales
02:00 CNY Industrial Production
04:30 JPY Industrial Production
07:00 GER Gross Domestic Product
07:45 FRA Consumer Price Index
09:30 GBP Retail Price Index
09:30 GBP Producer Price Index
09:30 GBP Consumer Price Index
09:30 GBP Core Consumer Price Index
10:00 EUR Gross Domestic Product
10:00 EUR Industrial Production
13:30 USD Consumer Price Index
13:30 USD Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy
15:30 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

Thursday, 15th November
00:30 AUD Employment Change
00:30 AUD Unemployment Rate
01:00 AUD Consumer Inflation Expectation
08:30 GBP Retail Sales
10:00 EUR Trade Balance
13:30 USD Retail Sales ex Autos
13:30 USD Retail Sales Control Group
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims
13:30 USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey
21:30 NZD Business NZ PMI

Friday, 16th November
07:00 GER Wholesale Price Index
08:00 ITY Trade Balance
10:00 EUR Consumer Price Index – Core
10:00 EUR Consumer Price Index
14:15 USD Industrial Production
18:00 USD Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count

Market talks

Market talks :

German Consumer Price Index, an important measure of inflation from the Euro zone’s largest economy sees Tuesday get underway at 07:00. The Economic sentiment ZEW Survey for Europe comes out at 09:00 which measures the institutional investor sentiment, reflecting the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. UK Employment and earnings data is released at 09:30 in the form of ILO Unemployment Rate and Average Earnings. Half an hour later it’s Germany’s turn to release the ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment. As the evening sets in, a Monthly Budget Statement released from the US summarizes the financial activities of federal entities, disbursing officers, and Federal Reserve banks. Rounding of the evening will be the high impact Japanese Gross Domestic Product. This will be important for traders of USD/JPY pairing because it indicates the pace at which the Japanese economy is growing or decreasing.

Wednesday starts in the early hours in Asia with Chinese Retail Sales and Industrial Production numbers out at 02:00. Japan also updates the markets on Industrial Production at 04:30. German Gross Domestic Product comes out as the sun rises in Europe and then at 09:30 in the UK, we get the Producer Price Index and Consumer Price Index figures. The first of the two major events midweek comes in the form of GDP data for the Euro zone at 10:00 and the second comes from the US with the latest Consumer Price Index inflation figures. The Federal Reserve has been on a rampant march increasing interest rates which has fuelled volatility throughout global markets. Could a strong inflation number cement the highly expected 4th interest rate hike of 2018 in December?

The penultimate trading day of the week begins overnight in Australia with the Unemployment Rate and Consumer Inflation Expectations. UK Retail Sales hits at 08:30 followed by the same in the US at 13:30 along with Initial Jobless Claims and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey which is a spread index of manufacturing conditions (movements of manufacturing) within the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. This survey, served as an indicator of manufacturing sector trends, is interrelated with the ISM manufacturing Index (Institute for Supply Management) and the index of industrial production.

With the European Central Bank President Mario Draghi maintaining his stance to end their lucrative bond buying program, which increases liquidity in the Euro zone, at the end of the year, the release of the Consumer Price Index numbers will be closely watched as combating inflation, of which this is a significant gauge, and has been the main reason for reigning in Europe’s financial stimulus. Generally speaking, a high reading could be seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a low reading could be seen as negative. This is then, an important end to the week for the Euro.


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